Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.019612 0.021152 0.022754 0.024548 0.026501 0.028566 0.030914
2025-11-09 0.016788 0.018956 0.021332 0.024132 0.027349 0.030938 0.035255
2025-11-16 0.014884 0.017383 0.020225 0.023706 0.027871 0.032712 0.038791
2025-11-23 0.013647 0.016379 0.019582 0.023632 0.028641 0.034666 0.042510
2025-11-30 0.012607 0.015485 0.018946 0.023443 0.029167 0.036258 0.045784
2025-12-07 0.011772 0.014756 0.018429 0.023317 0.029699 0.037818 0.049041
2025-12-14 0.011030 0.014080 0.017913 0.023124 0.030088 0.039167 0.052044
2025-12-21 0.010482 0.013610 0.017615 0.023172 0.030763 0.040886 0.055605
2025-12-28 0.009928 0.013091 0.017212 0.023038 0.031156 0.042215 0.058669
2026-01-04 0.009469 0.012669 0.016907 0.023004 0.031664 0.043701 0.062010
2026-01-11 0.009097 0.012340 0.016705 0.023088 0.032324 0.045413 0.065750
2026-01-18 0.008729 0.011995 0.016455 0.023082 0.032839 0.046924 0.069258
2026-01-25 0.008352 0.011634 0.016185 0.023062 0.033372 0.048551 0.073145
2026-02-01 0.007883 0.011120 0.015674 0.022663 0.033323 0.049309 0.075749
2026-02-08 0.007452 0.010639 0.015184 0.022264 0.033242 0.050000 0.078270
2026-02-15 0.007149 0.010329 0.014926 0.022195 0.033654 0.051461 0.082110
2026-02-22 0.006839 0.009993 0.014613 0.022019 0.033879 0.052626 0.085517
2026-03-01 0.006568 0.009701 0.014348 0.021901 0.034182 0.053919 0.089206
2026-03-08 0.006299 0.009401 0.014056 0.021721 0.034368 0.055021 0.092618
2026-03-15 0.006103 0.009203 0.013911 0.021766 0.034919 0.056750 0.097231
2026-03-22 0.005879 0.008952 0.013670 0.021641 0.035173 0.057980 0.101015
2026-03-29 0.005690 0.008747 0.013493 0.021609 0.035579 0.059484 0.105387
2026-04-05 0.005537 0.008592 0.013387 0.021688 0.036174 0.061344 0.110531